A Bibliography of Literary Theory, Criticism and Philology
by José Ángel García Landa
(University of Zaragoza, Spain)
Probability
Ayer, A. J. Probability and Evidence. New York: Macmillan, 1972.
Bennett, B. M., D. D. Hoffman and P. Murthy. "Lebesgue Logic for Probabilistic Reasoning, and Some Applications to Perception." Journal of Mathematical Psychology 37 (1993): 63–103.
Condorcet. Essay on the Application of Analysis to the Probability of Majority Decisions. 1785.
Currie, Gregory. "3. Two Ways of Looking at a Narrative." In Currie, Narratives and Narrators: A Philosophy of Stories. Oxford: Oxford UP, 2010. 49-64.* (Limits to the Content Approach to Narrative - Telling the Time in Marienbad - Possibility, Probability, Evidence - Representational Correspondence).
Dawkins, Richard. "Explaining the Very Improbable." From The Blind Watchmaker. In Darwin: Texts. Commentary. Ed. Philip Appleman. 3rd ed. New York: Norton, 2001. 301-04.*
_____. Climbing Mount Improbable. New York: Norton, 1996. (Evolution).
_____. Climbing Mount Improbable. Harmondsworth: Penguin, 1997.
García Landa, José Angel. "Falacias de Monty Hall/Savant." In García Landa, Vanity Fea 18 Sept. 2008.
http://garciala.blogia.com/2008/091801-falacias-de-monty-hall-savant.php
2008
Kahneman, Daniel, and Amos Tversky. "Subjective Probability: A Judgment of Representativeness." Cognitive Psychology 3 (1973): 430-54.
Kipping, David. "An Objective Bayesian Analysis of Life's Early Start and Our Late Arrival." PNAS 117.2 (June 2020): 11995-12003.*
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1921655117
https://www.pnas.org/content/117/22/11995
2020
Laplace, Pierre Simon. Théorie analytique des probabilités. Paris: Ve. Courcier, 1812.
_____. A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities. Trans. from the 6th French edition by Frederick Wilson Truscott and Frederick Lincoln Emory. New York: Dover Publications, 1951.
_____. Philosophical Essay on Probabilities. 1825. Ed. and trans. Andrew I. Dale. New York: Springer, 1994.
Leibniz, G. W. Nouveaux Essais. (Perception, epistemology, substance, fallacies, truth, knowledge, judgment, Reason, propositions, God, reason, probability, error).
_____. Nuevos ensayos sobre el entendimiento humano. Madrid: Editora Nacional, 1977.
_____. Nuevos ensayos sobre el entendimiento humano. Ed. Javier Echeverría Ezponda. Addenda by Mary Sol de Mora. (El Libro de Bolsillo). Madrid: Alianza Editorial, 1992. 2nd ed. 2021.* (I. Sobre las ideas innatas. II. Sobre las ideas. III. Sobre las palabras. IV. Sobre el conocimiento).
Lichtenberg, Georg Christoph. Betrachtungen über einige Methoden, eine gewisse Schwierigkeit in der Berechnung der Wahrscheinlichkeit beym Spiel zu heben. Göttingen, 1770.
Locke, John. "IV.XV. Of Probability." In Locke, An Essay Concerning Human Understanding. Ed. John W. Yolton. 2 vols. London: Dent; New York: Dutton, 1961.*
Patey, Douglas Lane. Probability and Literary Form: Philosophic Theory and Literary Practice in the Augustan Age. 1984
Plato, Jan von. Creating Modern Probability: Its Mathematics, Physics and Philosophy in Historical Perspective. Cambridge: Cambridge UP, 1999.
Popper, Karl R. Logik der Forschung. Wien: Springer, 1935.
_____. The Logic of Scientific Discovery. New York: Basic Books, 1949. 1959.
_____. The Logic of Scientific Discovery. London, 1959.
_____. La lógica de la investigación científica. 1934. English ed. 1958. Trans. Víctor Sánchez de Zavala. Introd. José Manuel Sánchez Ron. Barcelona: Círculo de Lectores, 1997.*
Richardson, Brian. Unlikely Stories: Causality and the Nature of Modern Narrative. Newark and London: U of Delaware P, 1997.
Rosenhouse, Jason. The Monty Hall Problem: The Remarkable Story of Math's Most Contentious Brain Teaser.
2009
Schum, David A. "Probability and the Processes of Discovery, Proof, and Choice." Boston University Law Review 66.3-4 (1986).
_____. The Evidential Foundations of Probabilistic Reasoning. New York: Wiley, 1994.
Shapiro, Barbara. Probability and Certainty in Seventeenth-Century England. Princeton (NJ), 1983.
Smith, John Maynard, ed. Games, Sex, and Evolution. New York: Harvester Wheatsheaf, 1988.
Taleb, Nassim Nicholas. (Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering, NYU-Poly). The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. Random House, 2007.
_____. El cisne negro: El impacto de lo altamente improbable. Trans. Roc Filella. Barcelona: Círculo de Lectores, 2008.*
"Teorema de Bayes." In Wikipedia: La Enciclopedia libre
http://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Teorema_de_Bayes
2008
Vives, Juan Luis. De discipliniis. 1531. (Disciplines, Arts, Letters, Grammar, Dialectic, Rhetoric, Natural philosophy, Medicine, Mathematics, Moral Philosophy, Civil Law, Metaphysics, Probability, Truth, Argumentation, Logic).
_____. Las disciplinas. Trans. Lorenzo Riber (Real Academia Española). Introd. Francisco José Fortuny. Madrid: Aguilar, 1948.
_____. Las disciplinas. Trans. Lorenzo Riber. Introd. Francisco José Fortuny. 2 vols. (Historia del Pensamiento, 83, 84). Barcelona: Orbis, 1985.*
Video
Barnes, Luke. "A Beginner's Guide to Cosmological Speculation." Video lecture. (Philosophy of Cosmology, Tenerife, 2015). YouTube (PhilosophyCosmology) 6 March 2015.* (Probability, Bayesian analysis).
2017
See also Statistics; Chance; Unexpectedness; Surprises.
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